NSW · suburb

Ultimo NSW: property data & flags

Suburb-level context for Ultimo from official sources, and the address-level red, yellow and green flags we check before you make an offer or sign a lease.

Check an address in Ultimo · free flag count →

Property crime: Ultimo vs NSW

Break-ins to homes212.5NSW 212.3Car theft618.2NSW 171.2Theft from cars415.4NSW 295.4Theft from homes425NSW 196.2Malicious property damage589.2NSW 553.8
Incidents per 100,000 residents, latest 12 months. Coloured bar: Ultimo (red = above the NSW average, green = below). Grey bar: NSW average.
Break-ins to homes212.5 incidents per 100,000 residents · 0% below the NSW rate (212.3) · higher than 77% of NSW suburbs
Car theft618.2 incidents per 100,000 residents · 261% above the NSW rate (171.2) · higher than 100% of NSW suburbs
Theft from cars415.4 incidents per 100,000 residents · 41% above the NSW rate (295.4) · higher than 89% of NSW suburbs
Theft from homes425 incidents per 100,000 residents · 117% above the NSW rate (196.2) · higher than 95% of NSW suburbs
Malicious property damage589.2 incidents per 100,000 residents · 6% above the NSW rate (553.8) · higher than 78% of NSW suburbs

Property offences only, per 100,000 residents, latest 12 months (Apr 2025Mar 2026). Population 10,352 (2021 Census scaled to the ABS June 2025 estimate; the area has grown ~40% since 2021). Percentile computed across the 945 NSW suburbs with 2,000+ residents. Suburb-wide figures, not any one street. Violent-crime categories are deliberately not shown. Data sourced from the NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (BOCSAR), © State of New South Wales (Department of Communities and Justice), CC BY 4.0, and the Australian Bureau of Statistics (CC BY 4.0), snapshot 2026-07-24.

Development applications in Ultimo, last 12 months

26 development applications lodged for Ultimo addresses between 2025-08-26 and 2026-08-26, with a combined stated cost of $218.5 million and 253 new dwellings proposed.

Largest by stated cost:

10-16 BAY STREET ULTIMO 2007$66,855,658.1 · Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure, Erection of a new structure · Determined
41-49 MOUNTAIN STREET ULTIMO 2007$66,181,793 · Erection of a new structure, Build-to-rent · Withdrawn
86-90 BAY STREET ULTIMO 2007$45,461,996.8 · Co-living · Determined

Source: NSW Planning Portal Online DA data (public record), applications by lodgement date, snapshot 2026-08-26. Costs are applicant-stated estimates. The paid address report checks applications around a specific address, not just this suburb-wide list.

What's coming to Ultimo

Ultimo is projected to go from 7,540 residents (2021) to 12,243 by 2041, a change of +62.4%, passing 9,543 by 2031.

Population figures are projections (DPHI 2024 NSW Population Projections (2022–2041 series)) for the ABS statistical area, not a guarantee. Project lists: School Infrastructure NSW and Health Infrastructure / Homes NSW public project pages (snapshot 2026-07-26); a "Planning" status is not a commitment: projects change, slip and get cancelled. The paid address report adds state-budget projects and growth area checks around the specific address.

What we check at the address level

Suburb averages can't tell you about one specific property. The full PropertyFlags report checks the address itself against official government layers (flood and bushfire mapping, zoning and height controls, development applications nearby, EPA contamination records, defect orders, aircraft and road noise, school catchments and more) and turns them into red, yellow and green flags with the questions to ask the real estate agent.

Run a free flag count on an address in Ultimo · See a sample report · All NSW suburbs

Guides: how flood risk really works in NSW · checking building defect orders · the full due diligence checklist · buying at auction · contaminated land checks · flight path and noise checks

Common questions about Ultimo

Is Ultimo safe?

There is no single answer to that for any suburb, but the official numbers say this: across 5 property crime categories, Ultimo sits above the NSW average in 4 and below it in 1, on BOCSAR figures for Apr 2025 to Mar 2026. These are rates for the whole suburb, not any one street, and safety also depends on things no crime table shows. The table above lists each category against the NSW rate.

Is Ultimo flood prone?

A suburb page cannot honestly answer that: flood planning areas are mapped lot by lot, and two houses on the same street can differ. The free PropertyFlags check looks up the actual address against the NSW flood planning layer, along with bushfire, contamination and other hazard maps.

Is Ultimo growing?

Ultimo is projected to go from 7,540 residents in 2021 to 12,243 by 2041, a change of +62.4%. Projections are planning inputs, not guarantees.

What does a property report for Ultimo include?

For one address: flood and bushfire mapping, zoning and height controls, EPA contamination records, serious defect orders, development applications within 500 m, aircraft, rail and road noise, school catchments, winter sun and more, each finding named with the government register it came from, as red, yellow and green flags.

Nearby suburbs

Chippendale

Suburbs sharing or adjoining postcode 2007; each page carries the same official crime and growth data as this one.